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Bayes's Theorem (1763)


Two years after his death "An Essay Towards Solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances" by English clergyman and mathematician Thomas Bayes was published in the Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society 53 (1763) 370-418.

Bayes's paper enunciated Bayes's Theorem for calculating "inverse probabilities”—the basis for methods of extracting patterns from data in decision analysis, data mining, statistical learning machines, Bayesian networks, Bayesian inference.

Hook & Norman, Origins of Cyberspace (2002) no. 1.